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Tuesday, July 12, 2005

Hurricane Dennis toll mounts with scores dead -AFP via YAHOO News� 


Hurricane Dennis toll mounts with scores dead�
AFP via Yahoo! News�-�Jul 12 9:01 AM
The death toll from Hurricane Dennis rose dramatically with at least 40 reported dead in Haiti, 16 in Cuba and more bodies expected to be found.

Click link above for full story at YAHOO news


Monday, July 11, 2005

AlterPresse Reports Dennis Aftermath-Haiti 


Summary press pieces onlne at AlterPress --a French-Spanish publication for eastern Haiti & the Dominican Republic .. reports the aftermath of Hurricane Dennis' passage -- deaths at Grand Goave are reported as 6 by these pieces ..
article -click here -in French
article -click here -in French

11 Dead Grand Guave By DENNIS 


11 are dead after a bridge collpase during the passing of Hurricane Dennis west of Haiti according to Metropole --the online news site of Radio-Metropole.
Prime Minister laTortue will announce further government measures for aid, assistance and damage measing for the storm victims per the article in French ..
Article in French in full here -click- at Metropole.

Further information about tropical storm impact -warnings & damges can be had at CDERA.org
[This note is a copyright respecting translated annotation.]

Thursday, July 07, 2005

Hurricane-Typhoon Watch 'Blog' 


http://ourican.blogspot.com

or RSS-XML
click here http://ourican.blogspot.com/atom.xml

The Blog relays NHC Forecast/Advisories in English Spanish and additional information.


Hurricane Dennis 


Hurricane Dennis now upgraded to Category II storm .. approaching Jamaica from ESE

Hurricane Watch Blog 


Additional posts via RSS-XML & blog at http://ourican.blogspot.com and http://ourican.blogspot.com/atom.xml

Wednesday, July 06, 2005

Position-Location Ouragan Dennis 


Oragan Dennis Position/Location - vitesse demarrage --course: 300 WNW
14 kts


Bulletin FLASH de NHC-EU Miami la nouvelle - anglais - prochaine bulletin 09:00 Z 



Oragan Dennis Location - vitesse demarrage --course: 300 WNW
13 kts

E-mail message

From: mail-storm-atlan-full@seahorse.nhc.noaa.gov(NHC�Mail�(Atlantic�Full)) Date: Thu, Jul 7, 2005, 2:35am (EDT+4) To: undisclosed-recipients:; Subject: HURR DENNIS Forecast/Advisory 10
000
WTNT24 KNHC 070233
TCMAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL � AL042005 0300Z THU JUL 07 2005
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDERWESTWARD...ALL OF JAMAICA...ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY MORNING.
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 73.4W AT 07/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE � 0SE � 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 30SE 10SW 40NW.
34 KT.......110NE 80SE 30SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 73.4W AT 07/0300Z AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 73.1W
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.6N 75.4W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.2N 77.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE 60SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 20.7N 80.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.2N 82.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 25.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 28.5N 87.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 32.0N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 73.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
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����������PLEASE NOTE: Timely delivery of this email is NOT GUARANTEED. � � DISCLAIMER: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/disclaimer1.html
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Bulletin -Flash- de Met�o France - Antilles 




http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/bulletin/special/cacyc_dir.jpg --Cliquez Image


Bulletins Special de Ouragan Dennis AAvises d'Urgence meteorlogique 


Cliquez ici de voir le bulletin de MF en francais --des bulletins en espa�l et anglais suivants

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/bulletin/special/cacyc_dir.jpg

Carte demarrage de Ouragan Dennis -Meteo France

http://fr.weather.yahoo.com/w/wcom/carib_websattropir_440_dmy_y.html - Caribbean Met�o de YAHOO en francais

Boletin de NHC-EU espa�ol (San Jaun PR-NWS)


E-mail message

From: mail-storm-atlan-sp@seahorse.nhc.noaa.gov(NHC�Mail�(Atlantic)) Date: Thu, Jul 7, 2005, 1:10am (EDT+4) To: undisclosed-recipients:; Subject: HURR DENNIS Aviso Publico 9A
000
WTCA44 TJSJ 070104
TCPSP4
BOLETIN
HURACAN DENNIS ADVERTENCIA INTERMEDIA NUMERO � 9A NWS TPC/CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT MIERCOLES 6 DE JULIO DE 2005
...DENNIS CONTINUA TORNANDOSE MEJOR ORGANIZADO AL ESTE-SURESTE DE � JAMAICA...
CONTINUA EN EFECTO UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA JAMAICA...EL SUROESTE DE LA PENINSULA DE HAITI DESDE LA FRONTERA CON LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HACIA EL OESTE...Y PARTES DEL ESTE DE CUBA DESDE LAS PROVINCIAS DE GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...Y GUANTANAMO.
UN AVISO DE HURACAN SIGNIFICA QUE SE ESPERAN CONDICIONES DE HURACAN DENTRO DEL AREA BAJO AVISO DENTRO DE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. LOS PREPARATIVOS PARA PROTEGER VIDA Y PROPIEDAD DEBEN AVANZAR A SER COMPLETADAS.
ESTA EN EFECTO UNA VIGILANCIA DE HURACAN PARA LAS ISLAS CAYMAN Y PARA PARTES DEL ESTE Y CENTRO DE CUBA...PARA LAS PROVINCIAS DE SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...Y HOLGUIN. POSIBLEMENTE SE EMITA UN AVISO DE HURACAN PARA LAS ISLAS CAYMAN MAS TARDE ESTA NOCHE.
A LAS 8 PM EDT...0000Z...EL GOBIERNO DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA HA DESCONTINUAD EL AVISO DE TORMENTA TROPICAL PARA LA COSTA SUR DE LA REPUBLICA DOMINICANA. SIN EMBARGO...TURBONADAS FUERTES CONTINUARAN ESTA NOCHE Y PODRIAN GENERAR RAFAGAS DE VIENTO HASTA 40 MPH.
LOS INTERESES EN EL CENTRO Y EL OESTE DEL MAR CARIBE DEBEN MANTENERSE ATENTOS AL PROGRESO DE ESTE SISTEMA.
PARA INFORMACION ESPECIFICA A SU AREA...INCLUYENDO POSIBLES VIGILANCIAS Y AVISOS SOBRE TIERRA...FAVOR DE REFERIRSE A LOS PRODUCTOS EMITIDOS POR SU OFICINA METEOROLOGICA LOCAL.
A LAS 8 PM AST...0000Z...EL CENTRO DEL HURACAN DENNIS ESTABA LOCALIZADO CERCA DE LA LATITUD 16.3 GRADOS NORTE...LONGITUD 72.9 GRADOS OESTE O COMO A 280 MILLAS... 455 KM...AL ESTE-SURESTE DE KINGSTON JAMAICA Y COMO A 295 MILLAS... 470 KM...AL SUR-SURESTE DE GUANTANAMO CUBA.
DENNIS SE ESTA MOVIENDO HACIA EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 13 MPH... 20 KM/HR...Y SE ESPERA QUE ESTE MOVIMIENTO CONTINUE DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS. EN ESTA TRAYECTORIA...DENNIS PASARA SOBRE O JUSTO AL ESTE DE JAMAICA PARA EL JUEVES EN LA TARDE.
LOS VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS ESTAN EN CERCA DE 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...CON RAFAGAS MAS FUERTES. ESTO HACE DE DENNIS UN HURACAN DE CATEGORIA 1 EN LA ESCALA SAFFIR-SIMPSON. SE PRONOSTICA FORTALECIMIENTO ADICIONAL DURANTE LAS PROXIMAS 24 HORAS...Y DENNIS PODRIA CONVERTIRSE EN UN HURACAN DE CATEGORIA 2 ANTES DE LLEGAR A JAMAICA EL JUEVES.
LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE HURACAN SE EXIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 25 MILLAS...35 KM...DEL CENTRO...Y LOS VIENTOS CON FUERZA DE TORMENTA TROPICAL SE EXTIENDEN HACIA AFUERA HASTA 105 MILLAS...165 KM.
LA PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA MEDIDA RECIENTEMENTE POR UN AVION DE RECONOCIMIENTO DE LA FUERZA AEREA FUE DE 984 MILIBARAS...29.06 PULGADAS.
SE ESPERA QUE DENNIS PRODUZCA ACUMULACIONES TOTALES DE LLUVIA DE 4 A 8 PULGADAS SOBRE EL SUR DE LA ESPANOLA...JAMAICA...EL ESTE DE CUBA Y LAS ISLAS CAYMAN. SON POSIBLES CANTIDADES MAYORES AISLADAS DE HASTA 12 PULGADAS SOBRE TERRENO MONTANOSO EN JAMAICA. ESTAS LLUVIAS PODRIAN OCASIONAR PELIGROSAS INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS Y DESLIZAMIENTOS DE LODO.
REPITIENDO LA POSICION A LAS 8 PM EDT...16.3 NORTE... 72.9 OESTE. MOVIMENTO HACIA...EL OESTE-NOROESTE A CERCA DE 13 MPH. VIENTOS MAXIMOS SOSTENIDOS... 80 MPH. PRESION CENTRAL MINIMA... 984 MILIBARAS.
LA PROXIMA ADVERTENCIA SERA EMITIDA POR EL CENTRO NACIONAL DE HURACANES A LAS 11 PM EDT.
PRONOSTICADOR STEWART
$$
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��������������������������������������http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
��POR FAVOR NOTE: Envio a tiempo de este email NO ES GARANTIZADO. DESISTIMIENTO: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/disclaimer1.html
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E-mail message

From: mail-storm-atlan-full@seahorse.nhc.noaa.gov(NHC�Mail�(Atlantic�Full)) Date: Thu, Jul 7, 2005, 12:40am (EDT+4) To: undisclosed-recipients:; Subject: HURR DENNIS Forecast/Advisory 9
ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DENNIS SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER � 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL � AL042005 2200Z WED JUL 06 2005
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA...THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD...AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...AND HOLGUIN.
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 72.5W AT 06/2200Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE � 0SE � 0SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE � 0SW 40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 72.5W AT 06/2200Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 71.9W
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.0N 74.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.4N 76.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.0N 79.1W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.4N 81.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.0N 84.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 27.5N 86.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 31.0N 88.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 72.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
NNNN
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������This information is provided as a public service from the � � Tropical Prediction Center / National Hurricane Center
������������������������������������http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
����������PLEASE NOTE: Timely delivery of this email is NOT GUARANTEED. � � DISCLAIMER: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/disclaimer1.html
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Liens-Enlaces-Links -Hurricane Information -Renseignment Meteo Cyclonique 


From the NHC-iami Florida ... Hurricane Dennis 8pm-edt location

16.3 Latitude North .. Longitude 72.9 W 280 miles ESE Jamaica
Links-iens-Elaces for satellte iages-forecasts-advisories-tracking-demarrage
Public Advisory -Avise publique de meteo - USNWSS-NHC-Miami
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/062350.shtml?text

Tracking Chart -3 days/jours -Demarrage -Dennis
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT04/refresh/AL0405W+gif/211359W.gif

HURRICANE WATCH - URGENCE METEO CYCLONIQUE 

US National Hurricane Center has issued a Hurricane Advisory for Hurricane Dennis - upgraded from tropical STorm to Class I Hurricane. Storm is heading westerly from ESE; now approximately 100 km east of Jamaica ..Watches & Warnings posted for Jamaica, Haiti and Eastern Hispaniola; and Eastern Cuba -G'Tmo Bay to Santiago -- see info NHC-USNWS

Avise-Meteo Urgence de Hurricane Dennis .. demarrage a Jamaica -Haiti-Cuba from ESE -- maitenant a l'est de Jamaica ..tangent aux isles en 24 heure ou oins ...

Wednesday, June 02, 2004

Interruption 

Interruption

Excuse the interruptionas I apply new features for the Google/Blogger "Dashboard" browser for this blog.

Saturday, March 27, 2004

Latortue's Precedent 

Latortue's Precedent


Prime Minister Latortue's precedent has established him and damned him. He is instantly forgiven and become the bete-noire for effecting the current Haitian solution committed to by Aristide before his ousting. A legally minded man - if the UN were to seek his removal -he would comply -- but likely only through the replacement of him with a UN administration of Haiti. His provisional government was conceived and promoted 2 years ago at the last attempted coup against Aristide. His conviction that a material sector of Haiti - even among Lavalas will never effectively support Aristide has been proven. Let Aristide and supprters commit to a rescuing governing provision - or stay on holiday - the UN will do the same and must or abnegate Haiti to civl war.

CARICOM Gums Latortue In Haiti 

CARICOM Gums Latortue In Haiti


In what appears to be a classic diplomatic botch - the Carribbean Community of Nations -CARICOM ..meeting at its semi-annual summit in St Kitts March 25-26 2004 has rejected the Latortue Government of Haiti; while Prime Minister Latortue has worsened the matetr by not sending a formal address to the summit in St Kitts. News summaries at the links below.
CARICOM Rejects Latortue -AP story
CARICOM

Analysis - CARICOM is seeking further UN intervention and investigation into Aristide's demise whith the African Union joining it. Fortunately for Latortue - while not recognzed - he was not condemned -- CARICOM is sympthatic with Haiti's problem -addressed strongly to Aristide last October at Kingston -- and now has reason to seek a 'bridge' of constructive relations -ie caretaker or provisional - with Haiti to assist in delivering ther relief and the restoration of law the nation needs. The UN's ReliefWeb news site reports the continued flow of international assistance -apparently with UN endorsement and the beginnings of attempts to disarm with a UN peacekeeping force. Caricom still has not committed forces to it - while condemning the past breakdown of law win Haiti. Latortue's government is legal if Aristide does not initiate in Haiti attempts to regain his office. His vacancy and failure to revoke his resignation created a vacancy which was constitutionally addressed. His duress claim fails - or the UN is the alleged coup's father. A New York meeting at the UN or in Haiti with pre-paid support facilities for the meeting ( Haiti is broke ) can resolve the split. Haiti's Aristide government failed -materially in every essential delivery of national government by reason of the insurgency and the effete address of it. Latortue's provisional government call gains credibility by on-ground delivery and the UN's backing.


Monday, March 22, 2004

Haiti's Default Win 

Haiti's Default Win


Haiti's former President Aristide has conceded his presidency by default. His resignation not formally revoked nor contested anywhere else- he is left perhaps, a personal cause of action against the powers he has assumed concerted to replace him. His 'default' and the initial constitutional form sustain Prime Minister Latortue and Acting President Alexandre.
In other Haiti news notes below at the 'debrief' Haiti links - notably Radio Metropole Haiti (francais) - US Ambassador Foley opines a better climate for open and fair elections -but sees them set for perhaps 8 or 9 months in the future -ie November -skirting Haiti's spring and fall rainy & hurricane seasons. Also noted is an article about Aristide's Government's $5 million Washington DC USA-Lobbying expenses. That piece however doesn't style it a bargain - it is cheap by DC standards -but paltry spending when compared to the Free Iraq lobby (partly US funded - about a $1 billion? but look what they got!)
Haiti's constitution requires a 90 day maximum acting presidential term. So until the international community fully recognizes the new government -de facto- it is. CARICOM, as noted in the piece below by AFP, has not yet formally recognized the new Haiti and until then neither has Aristide's host: Jamaica. If the presidency 'fails' then the Prime Minister governs until its disability is cured by one constitutional opinion.
Former General Abrahams is the new security chief -and a moderate in Latortue's cabinet. What Haiti will need is patience, help, and a good legal electoral reckoning for the new provisional government which may have to delay elections ..and re-vamp its house. For legality -not ratio-cination - the UN could sustain Haiti's government of national 'unity' - with little or no suppression of Haiti's sovereignty -but with national reconstruction endorsement. Clearly Haiti needed change and crime reduction - materially. That was sought last year at Kingston - but Aristide claimed the international help was never clearly there. And now? Well he can observe - and maybe meet his nation half-way - possibly agreeing to the provisional government instead of failed government, and, Venezuela style - amend or reform Haiti's constitution; at least for electoral sensitivity - more frequent elections.
Now, Latortue has a chance to place his re-construction plan 'le plan nationale provisore' - before the Haitian people and do as an alternative.

Haiti Links Haiti-Info article from AFP-English new government summary

Haiti's Final Straw? 


Haiti's Final Straw?


An article in the Jamaica Observer highlights Haiti's business community's concern over President Aristide's plan to raise (by a change in the law through Congress) Haiti's minimum wage. This was reported to have been the catalyst to the convenient insurgency purchase which has triggered so many "Aristide is gone" yawns.
The piece also opines about the stay of Aristide in Jamaica.
Analysis-As also noted in the past blogging here - the column hints at the Bush Adminstration and the UN's concerns about the problems of popular elective but monopolistic parties - implying Kenya's Jomo Kenyatta's great one-party-merge; the Mandela-Mbeke ANC; and, one supposes, a qualm about Zimbabwe's Mugabe and his party.
Pluralism is guaranteed by Haiti's Constitution - and in the other mentioned nations -but short of a militant minority coup d'etat there is no good solution.
Jamaica will be a good 'staying place' for Aristide - -maybe the Haitians and he can learn from that nations wonderful Manley-Seaga bi-polarity. Never always calm nor easy - it gave Jamaica her stable polity today -and what the world expects in at least a bi-party nation.
President Bush and Secretary Powell perhaps recollect the triumph and dominance of the Lincoln post Civil War GOP and FDR's New Deal Democrats - - they couldn't be beaten, electorally, most of the time.
Parties change - leaders die -constitutions and peoples endure. Haiti needs a fresh look and a new hand - maybe she needs a fresh constitution and the party rotation which benefitted Jamaica.
Evidently it does take two -- Mexico is another example!


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